Update: 26 Dec 2025 (Turkey)
In Turkey, the January 2026 pension increase is mainly shaped by two tracks:
1) SSK (4A) and Bağ-Kur (4B) retirees
They typically receive a raise based on the cumulative CPI (TÜFE) over the July–December period.
2) Civil-servant retirees (4C)
Their adjustments are tied to collective agreement increases plus an inflation-difference mechanism, so the final picture can differ from 4A/4B.
What is known so far?
With November inflation included, media coverage commonly states that SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees have already “earned” about 11.21% for the first five months (July–November). This is not the final January rate—December inflation will complete the six-month total.
:contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}
When will the final rate be confirmed?
December 2025 inflation is expected to be announced on 5 January 2026 (the normal early-month schedule shifts because the standard date lands on a weekend). Once that data is released, the six-month cumulative inflation becomes definitive.
:contentReference[oaicite:2]{index=2}
Three quick scenarios (for understanding, not a forecast)
If the 5-month cumulative is 11.21%, then:
- If December CPI is 1.0% → 6-month total ≈ 12.32%
- If December CPI is 2.0% → 6-month total ≈ 13.43%
- If December CPI is 3.0% → 6-month total ≈ 14.55%
Simple formula:
New pension = Current pension × (1 + raise rate)
Civil-servant retirees: why it can differ
Official sources from the public sector wage agreement framework indicate a 11% increase for the first half of 2026 and also mention a 1,000 TL additional payment to base salaries for that period, alongside the inflation-difference mechanism. Exact outcomes still depend on the finalized inflation figures and implementation details.
:contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}
Why “base pension” (kök maaş) matters
The percentage raise is applied to the base pension amount. If someone’s base pension is low, the final paid amount may be influenced by separate “minimum pension” policies—often requiring additional policy decisions. That’s why two retirees can see very different “net” increases even when the same percentage is announced.
Practical checklist (fast)
- Check your base pension details (where available).
- Compare the final six-month rate after 5 Jan 2026.
- Watch for separate announcements on the minimum pension threshold.